Election Forecasts
This Sunday, French voters go to the voting booths to voice their choice - electronically. It’s the paper-free, eco-friendly election. Already the Greens have won a victory for the trees. But with no paper trail, some voters are getting edgy.
As for the end results - regarding Sarko/Sego?
Round and round she goes - and where she stops - nobody knows. This is the truth in France. Nobody knows, yet everybody thinks they know, and to quote a great movie quote:
“If when you know, you NEVER know!” (By the way, that’s the trivia question for today - do you know what movie has this quote in the dialogue?).
So, here’s my prediction. For this weekend’s run-off vote - it’s a no-brainer. Segolene Royal and Nicolas Sarkozy have been the main contenders since the beginning - and I think they’ll come through the first round with ease.
But the million dollar question, is, who will be France’s next President - or should I say who will win the election - or should I say who will win the most votes? It’s very interesting that this is the first time it was decided to try out the computerized ballot system. Given that the election results between Sarkozy and Royal will be close, I can guarantee you one thing - whoever loses will undoubtedly demand a recount. But how?
Now, if I were going to predict the voting outcome - I’d say that many more people will be voting for Segolene Royal than the pollsters would have tallied (because for many reasons, people like to keep their votes to themselves).
So, this is my guess - there will be many more votes for Segolene Royal than anyone would have expected. But finally, when all is said and done, and the votes will be recounted - undoubtedly - one way or anothr, Nicolas Sarkozy will be France’s next president.
BTW - this is just a guess which is no better than anyone else’s. One thing that everyone can agree upon, this election year has to be one of the most riveting in recent history.
By Parisgirl | Permalink
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That’s a great quote - but you’ve got me. Which movie is it?
Answer to “Even when you know - you never know!” is the sleeper comedy “Let it Ride” with Robbie Coltrane, Terri Garr, Richard Dreyfuss. As far as I know, “Let it Ride” is still a sleeper although it had us laughing for weeks.
[...] If you’ve read my past posts, the outcome of Round 1 at the voting booths was no surprise . . . but how do the French rate their new voting machines? [...]
The “I know you know…” quote is from THE LION IN WINTER (1968). Should have remembered LET IT RIDE…that is a wonderful film!
Yes. I can picture Katherine Hepburn saying that.
[...] According to today’s Figaro, the latest TNS-Sofres-Unilog polling puts the latest number of poll results as 51 percent for Nicolas Sarkozy and 49 percent for Segolene Royal. That’s after divvying up the spoils from the first round. Bayrou, who represented France’s ‘centristes’ or middle of the road voters is taking off his hat to Madame Royal. TNS-Sofres-Unilog is predicting a very close vote - which Paris Loguers have already expected! “Even when you know - you never know.” [...]
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we don’t know that movie quote — but how about this one?… “I know. You know I know. I know you know I know. We know Henry knows, and Henry knows we know it. We’re a knowledgeable family.”